The preseason forecast was an update of the first one (which had a slightly higher ACE):

The actual numbers for the 2016 season:

• 15 named storms
• 7 hurricanes
• 3 major hurricanes
• Total ACE 134

This part of the forecast was right on target, with all of the elements falling within our range.

As far as the impact area, this was the season's tracks:

This is the zoom in of the Southeast Coast:

The forecast showed some skill. However, there was a lack of storminess in the western Gulf and there was a second congregation of tracks to the east where we didn't expect as much activity. We did have a lot of activity in the red area off the Southeast Coast, but there was less than what we forecasted.