Mid-month transient heat pattern repeats 7 years ago
By: Joe D'Aleo
June 14, 2017
Heat blasted into the northeast the last few days but it has backed off this morning.
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The month to date has been cool south and east. Warmth was building central.
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The last 30 days has average cool south and east, warm where its has been drier north central and west.
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Cool has dominated in recent months except for brief heat bursts, mid month and again early May.
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The next 5 days sees the northeast cool while the warmth is slower to ease in the Ohio Valley.
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It looks like Phase 1 of the MJO, which many models show now in place, heading in some to phase 2.
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The 6 to 10 day is colder central and east, looking like phase 2.
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It has been dry in the midwest the last 30 days.
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The prior 30 days was wetter.
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The next 10 days show a wetter pattern in the Great Lakes and Eastern Ohio Valley.
The 6 week forecast from Monday night was wet.
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This is consistent with the latest WeatherBELL Pioneer statistical model.
